Managing Short-Term Electricity Contracts Under Uncertainty: A Minimax Approach

A common problem facing energy producers is marketing excess capacity in the short-term market.
A producer holds an auction asking interested buyers to submit bids re ecting their capacity and
price requirements. As a buyer’s demand is not known in advance, the supplier constructs several
demand forecasts and associates a set of possible probability measures with these forecasts. The
supplier then minimizes the expected cost while considering the worst-case probability distribution.
The formulation—a minimax mixed-integer program—is solved using a branch-and-cut technique.
Numerical testing indicates that the developed method solves models with more than a 100 contracts
in less than a minute.

By: Samer Takriti, Shabbir Ahmed

Published in: RC22297 in 2001

LIMITED DISTRIBUTION NOTICE:

This Research Report is available. This report has been submitted for publication outside of IBM and will probably be copyrighted if accepted for publication. It has been issued as a Research Report for early dissemination of its contents. In view of the transfer of copyright to the outside publisher, its distribution outside of IBM prior to publication should be limited to peer communications and specific requests. After outside publication, requests should be filled only by reprints or legally obtained copies of the article (e.g., payment of royalties). I have read and understand this notice and am a member of the scientific community outside or inside of IBM seeking a single copy only.

RC22287.pdf

Questions about this service can be mailed to reports@us.ibm.com .