An International Regime Design Regarding the Kyoto Protocol: The Role of Multi-Agent Simulation

Based on the agreement at COP7,the Kyoto Protocol including Kyoto Mechanisms for
e cient achievement is expected to be rati ed soon.Though there are still concerns about how
the mechanism will function in the real international situation.So,we need to check the realistic
e ectiveness of the mechanism.In this paper,we introduce the international research project
aiming at study the possible rules for international carbon management regime.Computational
and gaming simulations are expected to be able to reproduce complex phenomena in economics
and society,and helps us to experiment with various controlling methods,to evaluate systematic
designs,and to extract the fundamental elements which produce the interesting phenomena in
depth analysis.We have developed a simple agent-based simulation framework “ASIA ”and its
applications for economic and environmental studies including the international greenhouse gas
(GHG)emissions trading,and constructed a Web application for the gaming simulation of the
emissions trading with human players to investigate and improve the behavior model for agents.
We also consider a transaction process control in hierarchical cycles whose design well t to the
experiment schedule,and two trading models combined with the agent and gaming system.

By: Yoshiki Yamagata and Hideyuki Mizuta

Published in: AESCS2002, Springer in 2002

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